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LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-In

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-In" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Odd/Even Total Kills 100% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 100% Volume: $1.3M Liquidity: $3.0M Closes: 28 Aug 2026
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LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?99%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?74%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?74%
O/U 3.5 Games71%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
Game 4 Winner49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Game 2 Winner47%
Game 3 Winner47%
O/U 4.5 Games34%
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5)30%
Match Winner28%
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)11%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: BRO (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-In. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between HANJIN BRION and BNK FEARX in the LCK Play-In, initially scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJ…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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