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LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 57% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 57% Game 1 Winner 56% Game 2 Winner 56% Volume: $79K Liquidity: $651K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
57% 43% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
57% 43% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner57%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?57%
Game 1 Winner56%
Game 2 Winner56%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors54%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?54%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
First Blood in Game 1?48%
Any Player Penta Kill47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?42%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)32%

Market context

Market consensus: 57% chance of lol: gen.g vs hanwha life esports (bo3) - lck round 3-4 legend group. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Gen.G and Hanwha Life Esports in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 13 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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