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LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 90% Game 2 Winner 88% Game 1 Winner 71% Any Player Quadra Kill 54% Volume: $79K Liquidity: $36K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner90%
Game 2 Winner88%
Game 1 Winner71%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Any Player Quadra Kill49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Any Player Penta Kill47%
Any Player Penta Kill47%
O/U 2.5 Games17%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 90% YES probability for LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage. This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between The Otter Side and NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS in the LPLOL Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "The…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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