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LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 100% Volume: $2.0M Liquidity: $2.0M Closes: 28 Aug 2026
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LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?99%
Match Winner83%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon1%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1%
Odd/Even Total Kills1%
First Blood in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)0%
First Blood in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?0%
Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season. This market refers to the LoL match between Team Vitality and Fnatic in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if T…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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