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LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 70% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 63% Odd/Even Total Kills 56% Volume: $191K Liquidity: $622K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon63%
Odd/Even Total Kills56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?56%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)48%
First Blood in Game 2?46%
First Blood in Game 1?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?44%
O/U 2.5 Games42%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?42%
Game 1 Winner31%
Game 2 Winner31%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Match Winner25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 70% YES probability for LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season. This market refers to the LoL match between Team Vitality and Karmine Corp in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 24 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team…

Methodology

We track LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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