Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Club Puebla O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Club Puebla 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Juárez (-1.5) | 0% |
| Club Puebla (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Juárez (-2.5) | 0% |
| Club Puebla (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Juárez O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Juárez O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Juárez O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Club Puebla O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Club Puebla O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Juárez 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Juárez 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Club Puebla 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Juárez 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Juárez 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Club Puebla 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Club Puebla 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
FC Juárez travel to Club Puebla on 17 July for a Liga MX fixture, with settlement occurring shortly after the final whistle on 18 July at 03:00 UTC. The 0% implied probability on additional markets suggests either minimal liquidity or a technical listing awaiting substantive trading activity, rather than genuine consensus that supplementary betting options will not materialise.
Liga MX operators have historically expanded market offerings for high-profile matchups and fixtures with significant playoff implications, though mid-season regular-season games occasionally receive limited secondary-market coverage. Juárez and Puebla occupy mid-table positions in the current cycle, which may explain thin initial liquidity. Previous seasons show that once a match gains traction among retail traders, derivative markets—including goal-scorer props, card counts, and corner totals—typically activate within 48 hours of kickoff. The 0% reading reflects absence rather than active bearish sentiment.
Traders should monitor whether either club announces squad changes or injury updates in the 72 hours preceding the fixture; such developments often trigger platform operators to expand market menus to capture increased interest. Puebla's recent form and home advantage at Estadio Cuauhtémoc may attract wagering volume, potentially prompting the platform to list additional markets. The settlement window's tight closure—just three hours post-match—suggests these supplementary markets, if offered, will settle quickly without extended review periods.
Methodology
We track FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla - More Markets on Who Will Win
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →