🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogLive odds →

Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles

Live odds for "Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 100% O/U 7.5 100% Spread -1.5 90% Volume: $351K Liquidity: $293K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5100%
O/U 7.5100%
Spread -1.590%
O/U 9.585%
O/U 10.565%
O/U 8.551%
Extra Innings50%
Spread -2.550%
Spread -3.550%
Spread -4.550%
Spread -1.549%
O/U 11.549%
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles5%
NRFI0%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%

Market context

The Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for July 12 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the g…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 100% for "Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $351K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

Trade Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles on Who Will Win

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to Who Will Win.

See all markets →

Related Topics

Sports