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San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins

Five-platform snapshot of "San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

88% YES 12% NO Volume: $465K Liquidity: $142K Closes: 27 Jun 2026
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San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Who Will Win Pick
polygram.ink
 88% 12% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Who Will Win →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 88% 12% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Who Will Win →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Who Will Win →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Who Will Win →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Who Will Win →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win.

Active sub-markets

Spread -1.588% Miami Marlins12% San Francisco Giants
O/U 7.5100% Over0% Under
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50% San Francisco Giants100% Miami Marlins
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5100% Miami Marlins0% San Francisco Giants
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50% San Francisco Giants100% Miami Marlins
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5100% Miami Marlins0% San Francisco Giants

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 88% YES probability for San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins. In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Miami Marlins, scheduled for June 20 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win?
Zero. Who Will Win routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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