Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Darnell Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Germie Bernard: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 100% |
| Darnell Washington: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| DK Metcalf: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Ben Skowronek: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| DK Metcalf: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Mike Gesicki: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 100% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 100% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Tee Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Darnell Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Darnell Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Darnell Washington: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Darnell Washington: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Roman Wilson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Drew Sample: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 100% |
| Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 100% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| Rico Dowdle: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Samaje Perine: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Andrei Iosivas: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 0% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 0% |
| Andrei Iosivas: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Germie Bernard: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Andrei Iosivas: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Andrei Iosivas: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Ben Skowronek: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Chase Brown: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Colbie Young: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Colbie Young: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Darnell Washington: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Darnell Washington: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Dohnte Meyers: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Dohnte Meyers: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Drew Sample: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Drew Sample: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Eli Heidenreich: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Eli Heidenreich: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Erick All Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Erick All Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Germie Bernard: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Germie Bernard: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jack Endries: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jack Endries: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jaylen Warren: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jaylen Warren: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Kaden Wetjen: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Kaden Wetjen: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Ke'Shawn Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Ke'Shawn Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Mike Gesicki: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Rico Dowdle: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Rico Dowdle: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Robert Tonyan: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Robert Tonyan: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Roman Wilson: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Samaje Perine: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Samaje Perine: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Tahj Brooks: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tahj Brooks: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Tee Higgins: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Travis Homer: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Travis Homer: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Andrei Iosivas: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Ben Skowronek: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Colbie Young: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Darnell Washington: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Dohnte Meyers: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Drew Sample: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Eli Heidenreich: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Erick All Jr.: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Germie Bernard: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Jack Endries: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Jaylen Warren: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Kaden Wetjen: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Ke'Shawn Williams: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Mike Gesicki: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Rico Dowdle: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Robert Tonyan: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Samaje Perine: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Tahj Brooks: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Tee Higgins: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Travis Homer: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Attempts O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 0% |
| Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 0% |
| Joe Burrow: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 0% |
| Chase Brown: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Receiving Yards O/U 119.5 | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Pat Freiermuth: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Samaje Perine: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Colbie Young: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Colbie Young: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Colbie Young: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Germie Bernard: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Germie Bernard: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Erick All Jr.: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Erick All Jr.: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Erick All Jr.: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Eli Heidenreich: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Eli Heidenreich: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Eli Heidenreich: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Lew Nichols: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tanner Hudson: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Lew Nichols: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Tanner Hudson: Team First TD (Cincinnati Bengals) | 0% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Mike Gesicki: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Drew Sample: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Drew Sample: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Lew Nichols III: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Lew Nichols III: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
| Jaylen Warren: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Michael Pittman Jr.: Team First TD (Pittsburgh Steelers) | 0% |
Market context
Bengals vs. Steelers - Player Props. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 100% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-27T17:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Methodology
This page reviews Bengals vs. Steelers - Player Props across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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