Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Eagles O/U 10.5 | 95% |
| O/U 26.5 | 94% |
| O/U 24.5 | 93% |
| O/U 27.5 | 92% |
| O/U 28.5 | 91% |
| O/U 29.5 | 89% |
| O/U 30.5 | 86% |
| O/U 31.5 | 85% |
| Commanders O/U 10.5 | 84% |
| Eagles O/U 12.5 | 84% |
| O/U 32.5 | 83% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 83% |
| Eagles O/U 13.5 | 83% |
| Eagles O/U 16.5 | 83% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 81% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 81% |
| O/U 33.5 | 80% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| Eagles O/U 18.5 | 79% |
| O/U 34.5 | 79% |
| Commanders O/U 12.5 | 79% |
| O/U 35.5 | 77% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 77% |
| Commanders O/U 13.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| Eagles O/U 19.5 | 75% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 74% |
| O/U 36.5 | 74% |
| O/U 37.5 | 71% |
| Eagles O/U 20.5 | 69% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 68% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| O/U 38.5 | 67% |
| Spread -1.5 | 66% |
| Eagles O/U 21.5 | 65% |
| Spread -2.5 | 65% |
| O/U 39.5 | 64% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 64% |
| Commanders O/U 16.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 63% |
| O/U 40.5 | 60% |
| O/U 41.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| Eagles O/U 23.5 | 57% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| O/U 42.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 56% |
| Eagles Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 55% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 12.5 | 55% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 54% |
| Eagles O/U 15.5 | 54% |
| Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| 2H Moneyline | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| O/U 43.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 52% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Eagles O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Safety? | 51% |
| Eagles Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 51% |
| Commanders vs. Eagles: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 21+ | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Commanders Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 13-18 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Commanders O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 25+ | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 19-24 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 7-12 | 48% |
| Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| O/U 44.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 17.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Eagles O/U 26.5 | 46% |
| O/U 45.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| O/U 46.5 | 42% |
| Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Commanders O/U 20.5 | 40% |
| O/U 47.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Spread -8.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 37% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| O/U 48.5 | 37% |
| Eagles O/U 27.5 | 36% |
| Commanders O/U 22.5 | 36% |
| Spread -9.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 1H Moneyline | 35% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 35% |
| Commanders Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| O/U 49.5 | 34% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 34% |
| Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| Commanders vs. Eagles | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| O/U 51.5 | 31% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| Commanders O/U 23.5 | 31% |
| O/U 50.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 29% |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 1-6 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| Eagles O/U 30.5 | 26% |
| Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| Spread -13.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 26% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| O/U 52.5 | 25% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 25% |
| O/U 53.5 | 24% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| Commanders O/U 25.5 | 23% |
| Spread -14.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 23% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 20.5 | 23% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 1-6 | 22% |
| Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| Commanders O/U 26.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 54.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 21% |
| Spread -4.5 | 20% |
| Spread -16.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 20% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 20.5 | 19% |
| Spread -5.5 | 18% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 18% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 16.5 | 18% |
| O/U 55.5 | 17% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -17.5 | 17% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| O/U 56.5 | 17% |
| Commanders O/U 27.5 | 17% |
| Eagles O/U 34.5 | 17% |
| Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 15% |
| O/U 57.5 | 14% |
| Spread -19.5 | 14% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| O/U 58.5 | 14% |
| Commanders O/U 28.5 | 14% |
| Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| O/U 59.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 12% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| O/U 60.5 | 11% |
| Commanders O/U 30.5 | 11% |
| Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| O/U 62.5 | 9% |
| Commanders O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| O/U 61.5 | 8% |
| Spread -21.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| O/U 63.5 | 7% |
| O/U 65.5 | 7% |
| O/U 64.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| O/U 67.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| Spread -17.5 | 3% |
| Spread -19.5 | 3% |
| Spread -20.5 | 2% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 1% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 95% YES probability for Commanders vs. Eagles. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 4:25PM ET: If Commanders wins, the market will resolve to "Commanders". If Eagles wins, the market will resolve to "Eagles". If the game is post…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $95K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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