Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Orgryte IS (-1.5) | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF (-1.5) | 0% |
| Orgryte IS (-2.5) | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Orgryte IS O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Orgryte IS O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Orgryte IS O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Orgryte IS 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Orgryte IS 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Orgryte IS 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Orgryte IS 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Örgryte IS and Djurgårdens IF played out a goalless 0–0 draw at Gamla Ullevi on Monday, 20 July 2026, in Allsvenskan regular-season action, confirming the match has already concluded with no winner in the primary markets. The prediction market titled “Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF - More Markets” now settles on secondary outcomes from that fixture, with the crowd-implied probability for the YES outcome sitting at 0%, reflecting near-total consensus that the specific additional condition will not be met.
Historically, Allsvenskan matches between these sides have been tight, with Djurgårdens often the favourite but frequently failing to convert dominance into clear secondary-market triggers like high total goals or specific player milestones. Comparable fixtures in recent seasons show that when the main result is a draw, ancillary markets such as “both teams to score over 1.5” or “any player to score two” rarely hit, aligning with the current 0% implied probability. The consensus is firmly against the YES outcome, and value, if any, would only exist in contrarian angles betting on rare exceptions—though none are evident post-match.
With the game already finished, there are no future catalysts to watch: no lineup announcements, schedule changes, or dependencies remain. The settlement window closes on 20 July 2026 at 17:00 UTC, but since the result is known, traders should note that the market is effectively resolved. Recent match data from 365scores confirms the final score and venue, leaving no ambiguity for settlement [1].
Sources: 1
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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