Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 99% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 75% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) | 50% |
| Match Winner | 41% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
The Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant Quarterfinal 2 match between Gentle Mates and NRG in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentl…
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World … on Who Will Win
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →