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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Volume: $295K Liquidity: $343K Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.576%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.576%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.576%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)75%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Match Winner45%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)25%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)25%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)25%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)25%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)25%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-9.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+9.5)10%
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+5.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+7.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-8.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+8.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-10.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+10.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 34.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: gentle mates vs nongshim redforce (bo3) - esports world cup group c stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between Gentle Mates and Nongshim RedForce in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 5 at 9:45AM ET. This mar…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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