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Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 98% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 91% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 91% Volume: $173K Liquidity: $750K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.598%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.591%
O/U 2.5 Games67%
Match Winner62%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+5.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.545%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.545%
Map Handicap: SGE (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)34%
Map 2 Winner33%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-3.5) vs Team Heretics (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-4.5) vs Team Heretics (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.59%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)2%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+5.5)2%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+3.5)2%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+4.5)2%
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)0%

Market context

The Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Eintracht Frankfurt and Team Heretics in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. T…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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