Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova. This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Micic and Linda Fruhvirtova in the Livesport Prague Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will res…
Methodology
We track Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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