Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Who Will Win Pick polygram.ink |
49% | 51% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Who Will Win → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
49% | 51% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Who Will Win → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Who Will Win → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Who Will Win → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Who Will Win → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 49% FlyQuest | 52% Team Liquid |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% FlyQuest | 100% Team Liquid |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% FlyQuest | 0% Team Liquid |
| Game 3 Winner | 48% FlyQuest | 53% Team Liquid |
| Game 4 Winner | 50% FlyQuest | 51% Team Liquid |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
FlyQuest and Team Liquid meet in the LCS lower bracket semifinal on 6 June, with the winner advancing toward a potential grand final berth. The match is a best-of-five series scheduled for 4:00 PM ET, and the crowd currently prices both teams at even money despite their divergent regular-season trajectories and recent form.
Team Liquid finished the regular season as a higher seed and carry the historical advantage in head-to-head matchups against FlyQuest over the past two years, though that record has compressed as FlyQuest's roster stability improved. The 50-50 implied probability reflects genuine uncertainty: both teams have demonstrated vulnerability in high-stakes series, and neither has established clear dominance in the current meta. FlyQuest's strength lies in their mid-to-late game coordination and ability to execute teamfights when resources are distributed evenly, whilst Liquid's advantage traditionally centres on early laning and macro tempo control. The even split suggests the market views these strengths as offsetting.
Traders should monitor roster availability and any last-minute substitutions announced before the 6 June fixture, as both organisations have rotated players during the season. Recent patch changes and any champion pool shifts disclosed in the week leading up to the match will shape draft flexibility. The settlement window closes at 02:00 UTC on 7 June, allowing a full day beyond the scheduled start time for completion; delays beyond that trigger a 50-50 resolution. Watch for any official LCS communications regarding venue or broadcast disruptions, which have occasionally affected playoff scheduling.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Who Will Win — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win?
- Zero. Who Will Win routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs on Who Will Win
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