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LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Any Player Penta Kill 94% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 71% Match Winner 61% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 60% Volume: $111K Liquidity: $287K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Player Penta Kill94%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon71%
Match Winner61%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon60%
Game 1 Winner56%
Game 2 Winner55%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?55%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?55%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?44%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?44%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)33%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor30%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors26%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors26%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 94% YES probability for LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group. This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and Dplus KIA in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 14 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match ag…

Methodology

We track LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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