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LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 86% First Blood in Game 4? 71% Game 1 Winner 71% Game 3 Winner 71% Volume: $533K Liquidity: $776K Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
86% 14% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
86% 14% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner86%
First Blood in Game 4?71%
Game 1 Winner71%
Game 3 Winner71%
Game 2 Winner70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)68%
Game 4 Winner63%
First Blood in Game 1?62%
First Blood in Game 2?62%
First Blood in Game 3?62%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor60%
Any Player Quadra Kill60%
O/U 3.5 Games60%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors56%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?38%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)38%
Any Player Penta Kill38%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?36%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
O/U 4.5 Games24%
Any Player Penta Kill11%
Any Player Penta Kill11%
Any Player Penta Kill10%

Market context

The LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In prediction market currently prices this outcome at 86% YES. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between T1 and Karmine Corp in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for June 28 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

We track LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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