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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets

Live odds for "Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 71% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 55% O/U 7.5 51% NRFI 46% Volume: $106K Liquidity: $914K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.571%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.555%
O/U 7.551%
NRFI46%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets43%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.543%
Spread -1.539%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.532%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.532%
Spread -1.531%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.525%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.523%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.521%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.513%
Extra Innings6%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 71% YES probability for Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets. In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Mets, scheduled for July 10 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This marke…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 71% for "Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 71% Other 29%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $106K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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