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Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Chicago Cubs 72% New York Mets 28% Volume: $343K Liquidity: $127K Closes: 2 Jul 2026
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Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Who Will Win Pick
polygram.ink
72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Who Will Win →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Who Will Win →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Who Will Win →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Who Will Win →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Who Will Win →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win.

Active sub-markets

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets72% Chicago Cubs28% New York Mets
NRFI0% YES100% NO
Spread -1.547% Chicago Cubs53% New York Mets
O/U 8.542% Over58% Under
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50% Chicago Cubs100% New York Mets
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50% New York Mets100% Chicago Cubs

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, chicago cubs vs. new york mets stands at 72% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and New York Mets, scheduled for June 25 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the gam…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Chicago Cubs at 72% for "Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets".

Chicago Cubs 72% Other 28%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $343K.

Methodology

This page reviews Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Who Will Win — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Who Will Win is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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