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Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox

Five-platform snapshot of "Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 80% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 66% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 56% O/U 8.5 55% Volume: $79K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 11 Aug 2026
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Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.580%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.566%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.556%
O/U 8.555%
NRFI49%
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox45%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.544%
O/U 9.544%
Spread -1.538%
O/U 10.537%
Spread -1.534%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.534%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.532%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.528%
Spread -2.528%
Spread -2.526%
Extra Innings8%

Market context

Market consensus: 80% chance of chicago white sox vs. boston red sox. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 4 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago Whit…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 80% for "Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 80% Other 20%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $79K.

Methodology

This page reviews Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox on Who Will Win

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Related Topics

Sports