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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees

Five-platform snapshot of "Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 80% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 69% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 56% NRFI 54% Volume: $236K Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.580%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.569%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.556%
NRFI54%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees52%
O/U 9.545%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.545%
Spread -1.540%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.533%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.532%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.522%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.519%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

Market consensus: 80% chance of los angeles dodgers vs. new york yankees. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees, scheduled for July 17 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Ang…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 80% for "Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 80% Other 20%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $236K.

Methodology

This page reviews Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports