Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Who Will Win Pick polygram.ink |
9% | 91% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Who Will Win → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
9% | 91% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Who Will Win → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Who Will Win → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Who Will Win → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Who Will Win → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Who Will Win.
Active sub-markets
| Spread -1.5 | 9% New York Yankees | 91% Toronto Blue Jays |
| O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Spread -2.5 | 3% New York Yankees | 97% Toronto Blue Jays |
| Spread -3.5 | 3% New York Yankees | 97% Toronto Blue Jays |
| Spread -4.5 | 1% New York Yankees | 99% Toronto Blue Jays |
| Spread -1.5 | 71% Toronto Blue Jays | 30% New York Yankees |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 9% probability to new york yankees vs. toronto blue jays. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 12 at 7:37PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $643K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Who Will Win is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win?
- Zero. Who Will Win routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays on Who Will Win
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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