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Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Five-platform snapshot of "Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

NRFI 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 83% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 80% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 77% Volume: $363K Liquidity: $509K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.583%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.580%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.577%
O/U 8.575%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.570%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.562%
Spread -1.561%
O/U 9.557%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 10.548%
Spread -2.543%
O/U 11.543%
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies27%
Spread -1.517%
Spread -2.514%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to washington nationals vs. philadelphia phillies. In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for August 5 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington National…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $363K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies on Who Will Win

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