Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
74% | 26% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
74% | 26% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 223.5 | 74% |
| 1H Moneyline | 71% |
| O/U 226.5 | 69% |
| Race to 10 | 69% |
| Race to 30 | 69% |
| Race to 20 | 66% |
| O/U 229.5 | 62% |
| O/U 232.5 | 56% |
| Timberwolves vs. Magic | 54% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| O/U 234.5 | 51% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Paolo Banchero: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Suggs: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tristan da Silva: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| O/U 235.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Rudy Gobert: Assists O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Tristan da Silva: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Tristan da Silva: Assists O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Tristan da Silva: Assists O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Jalen Suggs: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Rudy Gobert: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| O/U 236.5 | 47% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| O/U 237.5 | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 43% |
| Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| O/U 239.5 | 42% |
| O/U 238.5 | 42% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Paolo Banchero: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 24.5 | 40% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| O/U 240.5 | 39% |
| Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 38% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Jalen Suggs: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| O/U 242.5 | 36% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 36% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 34% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 24.5 | 34% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 33% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 32% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| O/U 245.5 | 31% |
| Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5 | 31% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 20.5 | 31% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5 | 31% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 5.5 | 31% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 34.5 | 31% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5 | 31% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5 | 31% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5 | 30% |
| Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 19.5 | 29% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 8.5 | 28% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 34.5 | 28% |
| Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 27% |
| Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 39.5 | 27% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| O/U 248.5 | 26% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 29.5 | 25% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 15.5 | 24% |
| Paolo Banchero: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5 | 23% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 23% |
| Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 23% |
| Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 13.5 | 22% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 22% |
| Jalen Suggs: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| O/U 251.5 | 21% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 44.5 | 21% |
| Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5 | 21% |
| Spread -12.5 | 20% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 24.5 | 20% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 20% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 34.5 | 18% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 24.5 | 18% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Spread -12.5 | 15% |
| Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 15% |
| Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 15% |
| Spread -15.5 | 14% |
| Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 14% |
| Desmond Bane: Points O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 11.5 | 13% |
| Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Franz Wagner: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 11% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 39.5 | 10% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Jalen Suggs: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 74% YES probability for Timberwolves vs. Magic. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the game i…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $105K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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