Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 203.5 | 95% |
| O/U 205.5 | 94% |
| O/U 207.5 | 93% |
| O/U 209.5 | 91% |
| O/U 211.5 | 89% |
| Mavericks O/U 96.5 | 87% |
| O/U 213.5 | 86% |
| Spurs vs. Mavericks | 84% |
| Spurs O/U 111.5 | 84% |
| O/U 215.5 | 82% |
| Mavericks O/U 98.5 | 81% |
| Spread -2.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 79% |
| O/U 217.5 | 78% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 19.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 78% |
| Spurs O/U 113.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 77% |
| Mavericks O/U 100.5 | 77% |
| Spread -3.5 | 76% |
| 1H Moneyline | 76% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 76% |
| Spread -4.5 | 75% |
| O/U 219.5 | 75% |
| O/U 220.5 | 73% |
| Spurs O/U 115.5 | 73% |
| Spread -5.5 | 72% |
| Mavericks O/U 102.5 | 72% |
| O/U 221.5 | 71% |
| Spread -6.5 | 70% |
| O/U 223.5 | 69% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 69% |
| Spread -7.5 | 67% |
| Spurs O/U 117.5 | 67% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 65% |
| Spread -8.5 | 64% |
| Mavericks O/U 104.5 | 64% |
| O/U 225.5 | 63% |
| O/U 226.5 | 62% |
| Spread -9.5 | 62% |
| O/U 227.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 60% |
| Spread -10.5 | 59% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 9.5 | 59% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 59% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 58% |
| Spread -11.5 | 56% |
| O/U 228.5 | 56% |
| O/U 229.5 | 56% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 54% |
| Mavericks O/U 108.5 | 53% |
| O/U 230.5 | 52% |
| Spread -12.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 52% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 14.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 52% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 51% |
| Spurs O/U 109.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| O/U 231.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 119.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 48% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 47% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| O/U 233.5 | 46% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 46% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 24.5 | 46% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 45% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| Spread -14.5 | 44% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 11.5 | 44% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 44% |
| O/U 234.5 | 43% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Mavericks O/U 112.5 | 40% |
| O/U 236.5 | 39% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Spread -16.5 | 38% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 44.5 | 38% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 38% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 39.5 | 38% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| 2Q O/U 62.5 | 37% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 11.5 | 36% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 36% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| O/U 239.5 | 35% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 9.5 | 35% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Spread -18.5 | 34% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 29.5 | 34% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 34.5 | 34% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Mavericks O/U 114.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 33% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 64.5 | 33% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 32% |
| Spread -19.5 | 31% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 30% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 | 30% |
| O/U 242.5 | 29% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| Spread -20.5 | 28% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5 | 28% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 21.5 | 28% |
| Spurs O/U 129.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 17.5 | 27% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 27% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 28.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 25% |
| Spread -22.5 | 24% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 29.5 | 24% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| Mavericks O/U 118.5 | 24% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 24% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| O/U 245.5 | 23% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Spurs O/U 131.5 | 22% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 21% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 20% |
| Spread -24.5 | 19% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 18% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 18% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 17% |
| Spurs O/U 133.5 | 17% |
| Spread -26.5 | 16% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 132.5 | 16% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 16% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 134.5 | 14% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Spread -28.5 | 13% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Spread -3.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 34.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 39.5 | 12% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 11% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Spread -30.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Spread -5.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -32.5 | 8% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Spread -34.5 | 6% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Spread -11.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Spread -36.5 | 5% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 3% |
| Spread -15.5 | 3% |
| Spread -17.5 | 2% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, spurs vs. mavericks stands at 95% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 24 at 8:00PM ET: If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks".…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $347K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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