Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 95% |
| O/U 26.5 | 94% |
| O/U 28.5 | 91% |
| O/U 30.5 | 88% |
| Cardinals O/U 12.5 | 88% |
| Cardinals O/U 13.5 | 88% |
| Cardinals O/U 10.5 | 87% |
| O/U 32.5 | 85% |
| Giants O/U 12.5 | 85% |
| Giants O/U 13.5 | 85% |
| Giants O/U 10.5 | 84% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 83% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 82% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 81% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 79% |
| O/U 34.5 | 78% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 78% |
| Cardinals O/U 16.5 | 76% |
| O/U 36.5 | 75% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| Giants O/U 16.5 | 74% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 73% |
| Giants 1H O/U 6.5 | 73% |
| O/U 38.5 | 69% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| Cardinals O/U 19.5 | 66% |
| O/U 40.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 62% |
| Giants O/U 19.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| O/U 41.5 | 59% |
| Cardinals O/U 20.5 | 58% |
| O/U 42.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| Cardinals vs. Giants | 55% |
| O/U 43.5 | 54% |
| Giants O/U 20.5 | 54% |
| 1H Moneyline | 53% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Giants 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Giants 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Cardinals Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Giants Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals vs. Giants: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Giants Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 49% |
| Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 49% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| O/U 45.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Cardinals O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| Giants 1H O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| O/U 46.5 | 43% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Giants O/U 23.5 | 42% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| O/U 47.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 13.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Giants 1H O/U 12.5 | 39% |
| O/U 48.5 | 38% |
| Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 12.5 | 37% |
| Giants 1H O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| Cardinals O/U 26.5 | 36% |
| Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Giants O/U 26.5 | 35% |
| Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 34% |
| O/U 50.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 29% |
| O/U 52.5 | 28% |
| Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| Cardinals O/U 27.5 | 28% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Giants 1H O/U 17.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 27% |
| Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 25% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 25% |
| Giants O/U 27.5 | 25% |
| Giants 1H O/U 16.5 | 25% |
| O/U 54.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 17.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 20.5 | 21% |
| O/U 56.5 | 20% |
| Spread -10.5 | 20% |
| Spread -8.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| Giants 1H O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 15% |
| O/U 58.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Cardinals O/U 30.5 | 14% |
| Cardinals O/U 34.5 | 14% |
| Giants 1H O/U 20.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| Giants O/U 34.5 | 13% |
| O/U 60.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| Giants O/U 30.5 | 12% |
| O/U 62.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 11% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| O/U 64.5 | 9% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
| Spread -21.5 | 9% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| Spread -19.5 | 7% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 4% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 95% YES probability for Cardinals vs. Giants. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00PM ET: If Cardinals wins, the market will resolve to "Cardinals". If Giants wins, the market will resolve to "Giants". If the game is postponed…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $72K.
Methodology
This page reviews Cardinals vs. Giants across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2214%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2236%22%20height%3D%228%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23facc15%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2210%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2244%22%20height%3D%2214%22%20rx%3D%227%22%20fill%3D%22%23facc15%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%228%22%20%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23facc15%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2248%22%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23facc15%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Cardinals vs. Giants on Who Will Win
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →