Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 20.5 | 96% |
| O/U 18.5 | 95% |
| O/U 22.5 | 95% |
| O/U 24.5 | 94% |
| O/U 26.5 | 93% |
| Panthers O/U 10.5 | 89% |
| O/U 28.5 | 88% |
| O/U 30.5 | 85% |
| Browns O/U 10.5 | 84% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| O/U 32.5 | 80% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 78% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 78% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 6.5 | 77% |
| O/U 34.5 | 74% |
| Browns 1H O/U 6.5 | 73% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 71% |
| O/U 35.5 | 69% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 69% |
| O/U 36.5 | 67% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 65% |
| O/U 37.5 | 64% |
| O/U 38.5 | 62% |
| O/U 39.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 58% |
| Panthers vs. Browns | 56% |
| O/U 40.5 | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| 1H Moneyline | 56% |
| Panthers O/U 20.5 | 55% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 54% |
| Browns O/U 19.5 | 54% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 53% |
| O/U 41.5 | 52% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Panthers O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Panthers O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Panthers O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Panthers O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Browns O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Browns O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Browns O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Browns 2H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Panthers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Browns Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Panthers vs. Browns: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Panthers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Browns Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Browns O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Browns O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Browns O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Browns O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Browns 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Browns 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| Panthers O/U 27.5 | 49% |
| Panthers O/U 30.5 | 49% |
| Browns O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| O/U 42.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Browns O/U 20.5 | 46% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| O/U 44.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 41% |
| Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| O/U 46.5 | 38% |
| Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Spread -5.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Spread -6.5 | 36% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 32% |
| O/U 48.5 | 31% |
| Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 30% |
| Browns 1H O/U 13.5 | 30% |
| Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| O/U 50.5 | 27% |
| Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 27% |
| Spread -8.5 | 26% |
| Spread -9.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 23% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 16.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 22% |
| Browns 1H O/U 10.5 | 22% |
| O/U 52.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| Browns 1H O/U 16.5 | 20% |
| Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 19% |
| Spread -13.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| O/U 54.5 | 17% |
| Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Spread -14.5 | 16% |
| Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| O/U 56.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| Browns 1H O/U 20.5 | 12% |
| O/U 58.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 11% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Browns 1H O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| O/U 62.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| O/U 60.5 | 7% |
| Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| O/U 64.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Market context
Panthers vs. Browns — current market-implied probability: 96%. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00PM ET: If Panthers wins, the market will resolve to "Panthers". If Browns wins, the market will resolve to "Browns". If the game is postpone…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $191K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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