Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 28.5 | 93% |
| O/U 26.5 | 93% |
| Cowboys O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| O/U 30.5 | 92% |
| Giants O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| O/U 32.5 | 87% |
| O/U 34.5 | 84% |
| O/U 24.5 | 84% |
| Giants O/U 14.5 | 83% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| O/U 36.5 | 81% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 81% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 80% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 79% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 79% |
| Giants 1H O/U 6.5 | 78% |
| Cowboys O/U 17.5 | 78% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 76% |
| O/U 38.5 | 75% |
| O/U 40.5 | 72% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 72% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 72% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 70% |
| Giants O/U 17.5 | 70% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 70% |
| Cowboys O/U 20.5 | 69% |
| O/U 42.5 | 67% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 65% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 64% |
| Cowboys O/U 19.5 | 63% |
| O/U 44.5 | 62% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 61% |
| Cowboys vs. Giants | 60% |
| Spread -0.5 | 60% |
| O/U 45.5 | 59% |
| Giants O/U 20.5 | 59% |
| 1H Moneyline | 57% |
| Cowboys O/U 22.5 | 57% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 57% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 57% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| O/U 46.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 56% |
| Cowboys O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 12.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 53% |
| Cowboys Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 53% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 53% |
| Cowboys O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| O/U 47.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 52% |
| Cowboys O/U 12.5 | 52% |
| Cowboys O/U 27.5 | 52% |
| Giants O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Giants 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys vs. Giants: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Giants O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Giants 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 7-13 | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Cowboys Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Giants Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Giants O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Giants 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Giants 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Giants 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 25.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| Cowboys O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Giants O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| O/U 48.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 7-12 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 14-20 | 48% |
| Giants Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Cowboys O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| Cowboys O/U 30.5 | 48% |
| Giants O/U 12.5 | 48% |
| Giants O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Cowboys O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 25+ | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 19-24 | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 13-18 | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 21+ | 47% |
| Giants O/U 27.5 | 47% |
| Giants 1H O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Giants O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 46% |
| Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 45% |
| O/U 49.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Giants O/U 26.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 43% |
| Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| O/U 50.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 39% |
| O/U 52.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| O/U 51.5 | 37% |
| Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Giants 1H O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Giants O/U 29.5 | 36% |
| Spread -6.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| Cowboys O/U 28.5 | 35% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| O/U 54.5 | 33% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 32% |
| Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 30% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 30% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 30% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 29% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| O/U 56.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 1-6 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 1-6 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| Giants 1H O/U 16.5 | 24% |
| Cowboys O/U 31.5 | 23% |
| Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| O/U 58.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| O/U 60.5 | 19% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 17% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| O/U 62.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 16% |
| Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 20.5 | 16% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| Spread -19.5 | 14% |
| Spread -21.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Giants 1H O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| O/U 64.5 | 11% |
| Spread -19.5 | 11% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Giants 1H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| O/U 66.5 | 9% |
| O/U 68.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Market context
Cowboys vs. Giants. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 60% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-14T00:20:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $78K.
Methodology
We track Cowboys vs. Giants across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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