Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Team A | 50% |
| Team B | 50% |
| Team C | 50% |
| Team D | 50% |
| Team E | 50% |
| Other | 50% |
| Florida Panthers | 14% |
| Carolina Hurricanes | 12% |
| Colorado Avalanche | 11% |
| Edmonton Oilers | 7% |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 7% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 7% |
| Dallas Stars | 6% |
| Minnesota Wild | 6% |
| Washington Capitals | 5% |
| Buffalo Sabres | 3% |
| Montreal Canadiens | 3% |
| New York Rangers | 3% |
| San Jose Sharks | 3% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 3% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 2% |
| Los Angeles Kings | 2% |
| New Jersey Devils | 2% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 2% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 2% |
| Utah Mammoth | 2% |
| Boston Bruins | 1% |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 1% |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 1% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 1% |
| New York Islanders | 1% |
| Ottawa Senators | 1% |
| St. Louis Blues | 1% |
| Winnipeg Jets | 1% |
| Calgary Flames | 0% |
| Nashville Predators | 0% |
| Seattle Kraken | 0% |
| Vancouver Canucks | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 50% probability to nhl: 2027 champion. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NHL for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a l…
Methodology
We track NHL: 2027 Champion across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade NHL: 2027 Champion on Who Will Win
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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