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KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 100% KKS Lech Poznań O/U 0.5 100% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% KKS Lech Poznań 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $123K Liquidity: $574K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
KKS Lech Poznań O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
KKS Lech Poznań 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Team to Advance60%
KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)0%
KÍ (-1.5)0%
KKS Lech Poznań (-2.5)0%
KÍ (-2.5)0%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
KKS Lech Poznań O/U 1.50%
KKS Lech Poznań O/U 2.50%
KÍ O/U 0.50%
KÍ O/U 1.50%
KÍ O/U 2.50%
KKS Lech Poznań 1st Half O/U 0.50%
KKS Lech Poznań 1st Half O/U 1.50%
KÍ 1st Half O/U 0.50%
KÍ 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
KKS Lech Poznań 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
KÍ 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
KÍ 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

The KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for August 6 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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