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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Winner 96% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 90% Volume: $302K Liquidity: $364K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner96%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
O/U 2.5 Games81%
Match Winner55%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map Handicap: 2GAME (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-5.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+5.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-6.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-7.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+7.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.545%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 2GAME Esports (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 2GAME Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 2GAME Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-8.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+8.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-9.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+9.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 96% probability to valorant: furia esports vs 2game esports (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 play-in. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between FURIA Esports and 2GAME Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 14 at 5:00PM ET. This market…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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