Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-6.5) vs Pcific Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-8.5) vs Pcific Esports (+8.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-7.5) vs Pcific Esports (+7.5) | 51% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-9.5) vs Pcific Esports (+9.5) | 51% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-12.5) vs Pcific Esports (+12.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-11.5) vs Pcific Esports (+11.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-6.5) vs Pcific Esports (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-6.5) vs Pcific Esports (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-7.5) vs Pcific Esports (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-8.5) vs Pcific Esports (+8.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: fut esports vs pcific esports (bo3) - vct emea group alpha stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between FUT Esports and Pcific Esports in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 22 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolv…
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: FUT Esports vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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