Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Captain | 96% |
| Messi | 93% |
| Record | 89% |
| Euro | 83% |
| History | 78% |
| Bronze | 74% |
| Qatar / Russia | 71% |
| Zlatan / Ibrahimovic | 66% |
| VAR | 64% |
| What a Save | 63% |
| Goal 75+ times | 62% |
| Bench / Benches 7+ times | 57% |
| Comeback / Come Back | 57% |
| Handball | 56% |
| Golden Boot 3+ times | 55% |
| Nutmeg / Nutmegs | 53% |
| Dolphins | 47% |
| Equalizer | 46% |
| Hattrick / Hat Trick | 42% |
| Own Goal | 36% |
| Maradona / Pelé | 36% |
| Foul 12+ times | 35% |
| Vertical / Verticality | 35% |
| Ronaldo | 35% |
| Gianni / Infantino | 35% |
| Crossbar | 30% |
| Powerade | 30% |
| Penalty Shootout | 28% |
| Penalty Kick | 28% |
| Pressure 15+ times | 27% |
| GOAT / Greatest Of All Time | 25% |
| Lenovo | 24% |
| Legacy | 21% |
| Red Card | 21% |
| Tenure | 17% |
| Heavyweight | 15% |
| Transition | 14% |
| Shakira | 14% |
| Soccer | 11% |
| Shutout / Shut Out | 9% |
| Golden Ball | 9% |
| Trump | 8% |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% |
Market context
The What will the announcers say during France vs England World Cup Match? prediction market currently prices this outcome at 96% YES. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by any member of the official FOX broadcasting team during the English broadcast of the France vs England FIFA World Cup 2026 match on…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade What will the announcers say during France vs Englan… on Who Will Win
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →