Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Naz Hillmon: Points O/U 9.5 | 95% |
| Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 95% |
| Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.5 | 95% |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo | 88% |
| O/U 181.5 | 77% |
| O/U 182.5 | 74% |
| Spread -7.5 | 69% |
| O/U 183.5 | 69% |
| Spread -8.5 | 67% |
| Spread -9.5 | 58% |
| Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Naz Hillmon: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Assists O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Allisha Gray: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Angel Reese: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Jordin Canada: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Angel Reese: Points O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Jordin Canada: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
Market context
The Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo prediction market currently prices this outcome at 95% YES. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 17 at 7:30PM ET: If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream". If the Toronto Tempo win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $216K.
Methodology
This page reviews Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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