Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
57% | 43% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
57% | 43% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 174.5 | 57% |
| O/U 175.5 | 55% |
| Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 14.5 | 55% |
| New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings | 53% |
| Jessica Shepard: Points O/U 15.5 | 52% |
| Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 52% |
| Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| O/U 176.5 | 51% |
| O/U 177.5 | 51% |
| Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 21.5 | 49% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.5 | 44% |
| Azzi Fudd: Assists O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 6.5 | 39% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 57% probability to new york liberty vs. dallas wings. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 16 at 9:00PM ET: If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty". If the Dallas Wings win, the market will resolve to "Dallas W…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $130K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings on Who Will Win
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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