Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova. This market refers to the tennis match between Camila Osorio and Ekaterina Alexandrova in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'C…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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