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Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson

Five-platform snapshot of "Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson Set 1 Winner 100% Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $213K Liquidity: $118K Closes: 21 Jul 2026
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Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson Set 1 Winner100%
Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson Match O/U 21.575%
Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson Match O/U 22.575%
Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson Match O/U 23.575%
Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson73%
Completed Match50%
Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson Set 2 Winner0%
Kitzbuehel: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samson Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to kitzbuehel: laura pigossi vs laura samson. This market refers to the tennis match between Laura Pigossi and Laura Samson in the Kitzbuehel, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laura Pigossi' if La…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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