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ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet

Five-platform snapshot of "ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet 100% Completed Match 100% ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet Set 1 Winner 100% ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $67K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet100%
Completed Match100%
ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet Set 1 Winner100%
ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet Set 2 Winner100%
ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet Set 2 O/U 8.50%
ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet Match O/U 21.50%
ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet Set Handicap +/-1.50%
ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet Set 2 O/U 9.50%
ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet Set 1 O/U 9.50%
ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet Match O/U 22.50%
ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet Set 2 O/U 10.50%
ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet Set 1 O/U 10.50%
ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

The Roehampton ITF men’s match between **Charles Broom and Oliver Tarvet** is priced by the crowd as a **near-certainty for Broom**, with the market at **100% YES** on Broom advancing. On the numbers available, that is consistent with a clear favourite/underdog split: Broom is the higher-ranked player in live feeds, around ATP 287 versus Tarvet’s 436, while generic pricing on the match has also leaned to Broom at roughly 2.75 versus 1.38 for Tarvet in pre-match comparison data.[2][10][15]

The historical frame is narrower than usual because the pair have **no prior head-to-head meeting** listed, so traders are leaning on ranking, recent form, and surface profile rather than a direct matchup.[1] Broom’s 2026 hard-court record is shown as solid across multiple databases, and Tarvet’s overall 2026 results are strong too, which is why the main contrarian angle is not a complete mismatch but the risk that the market may be overconfident if Tarvet’s recent run on the surface is underweighted.[1][7][17] In other words, the consensus sits with Broom, but the value question is whether Tarvet’s form makes him a live underdog rather than a token outsider.[7][10]

The key catalysts are mundane but market-relevant: **official order-of-play updates, live score confirmation, and whether the match is started, completed, or abandoned**. The event has already appeared in live scoring feeds with Broom listed as the winner in progress, which matters because an in-play result changes settlement dynamics and reduces the relevance of the original schedule window.[2][5] If the match was not completed by the scheduled day, traders would need to watch for whether it is finished within seven days or reclassified as unresolved, because that is the point at which the market would move away from a standard winner settlement.[16]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet on Who Will Win

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Related Topics

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