Roland Garros WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Jil Teichmann

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Liudmila Samsonova and Jil Teichmann are scheduled to meet in the early rounds of Roland Garros on 24 May 2026. The 0% implied probability on Samsonova suggests the market has already priced in a Teichmann victory, though the settlement window extends to 31 May, allowing for potential delays or cancellations that would trigger a 50-50 resolution.

Samsonova has demonstrated volatility across clay surfaces, with her record at Roland Garros showing inconsistent results relative to her ranking. Teichmann, meanwhile, has historically performed better on slower courts than hard surfaces, though her overall WTA ranking and recent form will determine whether the market's complete dismissal of Samsonova's chances reflects genuine form disparity or overconfidence. Historical precedent suggests early-round matches at Roland Garros between players of similar ranking often see tighter odds than 0-100 splits, indicating potential value if Samsonova's recent preparation or head-to-head record suggests competitive balance.

Traders should monitor both players' performances in the weeks preceding Roland Garros, particularly their results on clay at warm-up events. Injury announcements or late withdrawals would immediately affect settlement terms. The early morning scheduling (5:00 AM ET) carries minimal practical impact on outcome but may influence media coverage and betting liquidity. Any weather disruptions in Paris during late May could extend the match beyond the seven-day window, triggering the 50-50 resolution clause—a tail risk that becomes material if either player faces fitness concerns heading into the tournament.

Methodology

This page reviews Roland Garros WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Jil Teichmann across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.