# of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast Gaming’s next upload is the key event, and the market is currently pricing **0%** for the top outcome, which makes the favourite the lower view brackets and leaves any higher bracket as a clear underdog. The channel says it posts a new MrBeast or MrBeast Gaming video **every Saturday at noon eastern time**, so traders are really watching whether the normal schedule holds or slips enough to push the first 24-hour tally into a weaker bracket.[2]

The cleanest historical frame is that MrBeast’s ecosystem still reaches a huge audience, but individual uploads are volatile enough that day-one views can swing sharply with format, timing and algorithmic pickup. The broader MrBeast brand remains active, with *Beast Games* season 2 having run on Prime Video from January to February 2026, which keeps the main creator brand in circulation even when Gaming output is less predictable.[1][7] For this market, the consensus sits with the low-end view ranges, and the value question is whether a scheduled Saturday drop plus a recognisable Gaming concept can produce an upside surprise; the contrarian angle is that a late upload, weaker thumbnail/topic, or missed weekly cadence would favour the under brackets rather than the market’s extreme tails.[2]

Catalysts are straightforward: confirmation that the video actually posts before the June 30 deadline, the exact upload time, and whether it lands on the usual Saturday slot or is delayed.[2] A late upload compresses the 24-hour window against the settlement timetable, but the market rules still count the first full day after posting. Watch the channel itself for the upload and any short-form or community-post promotion around it, because the first-day view profile on MrBeast titles is often driven as much by immediate distribution as by the upload itself.[2][10]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track # of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Who Will Win is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.