LoL: CCG Esports vs Conviction (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The North American Challengers League upper bracket final pits CCG Esports against Conviction in a best-of-five League of Legends match originally scheduled for 28 May at 4:00 PM ET. The 0% implied probability suggests either a technical listing issue or extremely late-stage certainty that one team will not compete. Given the settlement window extends to 30 May at 02:00 UTC, there is a two-day buffer for rescheduling if necessary, though the 50-50 tie-breaker clause applies only if play extends beyond seven days without resolution.

Challengers League upper bracket finals rarely see pre-match probability collapse to zero unless roster changes, disqualifications, or organisational withdrawals occur. Recent Challengers seasons have seen matches proceed as scheduled despite roster instability, suggesting the current odds reflect either missing information about team status or a data feed anomaly rather than genuine certainty of non-play. Historical precedent indicates that even teams facing financial or administrative pressure typically field rosters for playoff matches to preserve league standing and potential franchise pathways.

Traders should monitor official LCS and Challengers League announcements for any team withdrawals, player eligibility rulings, or schedule confirmations in the 48 hours before the match. The Lolesports website and official team social media channels remain the primary sources for roster confirmation and match status updates. Any announcement regarding CCG Esports or Conviction player substitutions, bans, or organisational issues would materially shift the probability from its current floor.

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: CCG Esports vs Conviction (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Who Will Win — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win?

Zero. Who Will Win routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.