LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

KT Rolster face T1 in a best-of-three League of Legends match within the LCK's opening rounds, scheduled for 28 May at 06:00 ET. The crowd-implied probability of 44% for a KT victory reflects moderate underdog positioning against one of the region's most established franchises. T1 remains the consensus favourite despite roster changes and competitive flux across the LCK in 2026.

Historically, T1 have dominated head-to-head records against KT Rolster over multiple seasons, though the LCK's competitive landscape has shifted considerably. Recent roster reconstructions and coaching changes across both organisations mean direct historical precedent carries less weight than usual. KT's 44% implied probability sits roughly in line with their standing as a mid-tier challenger rather than a true dark horse, suggesting the market has priced in T1's structural advantages without overweighting them dramatically.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations and scrim results in the days preceding the match, as last-minute substitutions or injury announcements could shift the probability meaningfully. The LCK's May schedule often features unpredictable early-season form, with teams still calibrating their meta reads and coordination. Any official statements from either organisation regarding player availability or strategic adjustments would constitute material information. The settlement window closes at 16:00 ET on match day, leaving minimal buffer for delays beyond the standard broadcast window.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Who Will Win is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win?

Zero. Who Will Win routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.