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National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce

Comparison of odds and platforms for "National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Who Will Win.

National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce Set 2 Winner 100% National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $155K Liquidity: $433K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce Set 2 Winner100%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce Match O/U 21.599%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce Total Sets: O/U 2.593%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce Match O/U 22.550%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce Match O/U 23.550%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce45%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce Set Handicap +/-1.53%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce Set Handicap +/-1.53%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce Set 1 Winner0%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce Set 2 O/U 10.50%
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to national bank open: nicolas mejia vs martin landaluce. This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Mejia and Martin Landaluce in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicola…

Methodology

This page reviews National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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