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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor

Five-platform snapshot of "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 8.5 70% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 21.5 65% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 10.5 64% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 22.5 56% Volume: $103K Liquidity: $355K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 8.570%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 21.565%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 10.564%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 22.556%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 9.556%
Completed Match50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 23.548%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 Winner47%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 8.546%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 Winner46%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor42%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Total Sets: O/U 2.541%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 9.536%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 10.535%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set Handicap +/-1.534%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set Handicap +/-1.526%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, mubadala citi dc open: alejandro tabilo vs tallon griekspoor stands at 70% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Tallon Griekspoor in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This mark…

Methodology

We track Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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