Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
91% | 9% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
91% | 9% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| Spread -2.5 | 90% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 23.5 | 90% |
| O/U 39.5 | 88% |
| Spread -3.5 | 87% |
| Spread -4.5 | 85% |
| O/U 35.5 | 85% |
| Spread -5.5 | 84% |
| O/U 37.5 | 84% |
| Spread -6.5 | 83% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 83% |
| O/U 41.5 | 80% |
| O/U 43.5 | 79% |
| Spread -7.5 | 78% |
| O/U 45.5 | 77% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 76% |
| O/U 47.5 | 75% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 75% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 74% |
| Spread -10.5 | 73% |
| Spread -11.5 | 71% |
| Spread -8.5 | 69% |
| Spread -13.5 | 69% |
| O/U 49.5 | 69% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 65% |
| O/U 51.5 | 64% |
| Spread -14.5 | 63% |
| Spread -16.5 | 61% |
| O/U 53.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 58% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 58% |
| Spread -17.5 | 57% |
| Spread -15.5 | 57% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| O/U 55.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 54% |
| Spread -18.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 54% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| Spread -19.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Florida State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Florida State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Florida State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Florida State vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Florida State vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Florida State vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Florida State vs. Miami (FL): Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida State vs. Miami (FL): Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida State vs. Miami (FL): Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -36.5 | 50% |
| Spread -39.5 | 50% |
| Spread -42.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Florida State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 46% |
| Spread -21.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 44% |
| O/U 59.5 | 43% |
| Spread -22.5 | 43% |
| Florida State O/U 20.5 | 42% |
| Spread -23.5 | 42% |
| O/U 61.5 | 41% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| Spread -25.5 | 39% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 38% |
| Spread -24.5 | 37% |
| Spread -26.5 | 37% |
| O/U 65.5 | 36% |
| O/U 63.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| O/U 67.5 | 33% |
| Florida State O/U 23.5 | 33% |
| Spread -27.5 | 33% |
| Spread -28.5 | 32% |
| Spread -29.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| O/U 71.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| O/U 73.5 | 27% |
| Spread -32.5 | 27% |
| Spread -30.5 | 26% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| O/U 69.5 | 21% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| Spread -35.5 | 16% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| O/U 75.5 | 12% |
| Spread -38.5 | 11% |
| Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | 10% |
| Spread -0.5 | 9% |
Market context
The Florida State vs. Miami (FL) prediction market currently prices this outcome at 91% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Florida State and Miami (FL), scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game. This marke…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $166K.
Methodology
We track Florida State vs. Miami (FL) across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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