Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -1.5 | 92% |
| Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| Spread -3.5 | 88% |
| Spread -4.5 | 86% |
| Spread -8.5 | 86% |
| South Florida O/U 23.5 | 86% |
| Spread -5.5 | 85% |
| Spread -6.5 | 83% |
| O/U 35.5 | 82% |
| Spread -7.5 | 79% |
| Spread -9.5 | 77% |
| Spread -10.5 | 74% |
| Spread -11.5 | 72% |
| O/U 39.5 | 70% |
| Spread -12.5 | 70% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 70% |
| Spread -13.5 | 69% |
| South Florida O/U 26.5 | 67% |
| South Florida O/U 29.5 | 67% |
| Spread -14.5 | 65% |
| South Florida O/U 32.5 | 65% |
| O/U 41.5 | 64% |
| Spread -15.5 | 64% |
| Spread -16.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 60% |
| O/U 43.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 59% |
| Spread -17.5 | 57% |
| Spread -18.5 | 56% |
| Spread -19.5 | 55% |
| O/U 45.5 | 54% |
| Spread -37.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 53% |
| Spread -20.5 | 52% |
| O/U 37.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| South Florida O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Kent State O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| South Florida O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -40.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 49% |
| Kent State O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| O/U 47.5 | 46% |
| Kent State O/U 26.5 | 46% |
| Spread -21.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 46% |
| Spread -22.5 | 44% |
| O/U 49.5 | 41% |
| South Florida O/U 35.5 | 41% |
| Spread -23.5 | 41% |
| Spread -24.5 | 39% |
| O/U 65.5 | 38% |
| O/U 51.5 | 35% |
| Spread -25.5 | 35% |
| Spread -26.5 | 35% |
| Spread -34.5 | 34% |
| Spread -27.5 | 33% |
| Kent State O/U 29.5 | 32% |
| Spread -28.5 | 28% |
| Kent State O/U 32.5 | 27% |
| Spread -30.5 | 25% |
| O/U 57.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 21% |
| O/U 61.5 | 20% |
| Kent State O/U 20.5 | 20% |
| O/U 53.5 | 19% |
| Spread -33.5 | 19% |
| O/U 55.5 | 16% |
| O/U 59.5 | 14% |
| O/U 63.5 | 12% |
| Spread -36.5 | 12% |
| 1H Moneyline | 11% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida | 9% |
| Spread -0.5 | 9% |
| Spread -1.5 | 8% |
| Spread -2.5 | 6% |
| O/U 69.5 | 6% |
| O/U 71.5 | 5% |
| O/U 73.5 | 4% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, kent state vs. south florida stands at 92% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Kent State and South Florida, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kent State" if Kent State win the ga…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $122K.
Methodology
We track Kent State vs. South Florida across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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