Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
82% | 18% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
82% | 18% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 37.5 | 82% |
| LSU vs. Auburn | 73% |
| Spread -0.5 | 72% |
| O/U 35.5 | 72% |
| O/U 39.5 | 71% |
| O/U 43.5 | 71% |
| Spread -1.5 | 70% |
| 1H Moneyline | 69% |
| Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| O/U 41.5 | 65% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 65% |
| O/U 45.5 | 64% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 64% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 63% |
| Spread -3.5 | 62% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 62% |
| O/U 47.5 | 61% |
| Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| Spread -5.5 | 59% |
| LSU O/U 20.5 | 59% |
| LSU 1H O/U 11.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 58% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 57% |
| Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| O/U 49.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| LSU O/U 23.5 | 56% |
| LSU 1H O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| LSU 2H O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| LSU 2H O/U 11.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| LSU vs. Auburn: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| LSU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| LSU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| LSU vs. Auburn: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| LSU vs. Auburn: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| O/U 51.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 49% |
| LSU O/U 26.5 | 49% |
| LSU O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| LSU 2H O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Auburn O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| Spread -8.5 | 46% |
| O/U 53.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 45% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| LSU 1H O/U 15.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| Auburn O/U 2.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 43% |
| LSU vs. Auburn: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 42% |
| LSU O/U 32.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 41% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 41% |
| LSU vs. Auburn: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -10.5 | 40% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| LSU O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| O/U 55.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 38% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 16.5 | 38% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 38% |
| LSU vs. Auburn: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| O/U 57.5 | 35% |
| Spread -13.5 | 34% |
| Spread -14.5 | 31% |
| O/U 63.5 | 30% |
| O/U 65.5 | 30% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 30% |
| Spread -0.5 | 28% |
| O/U 59.5 | 28% |
| Spread -16.5 | 27% |
| Spread -1.5 | 27% |
| Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| O/U 61.5 | 26% |
| O/U 69.5 | 26% |
| Spread -17.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 24% |
| O/U 71.5 | 23% |
| Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| Spread -4.5 | 20% |
| Spread -20.5 | 19% |
| Spread -5.5 | 19% |
| Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| O/U 67.5 | 16% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| O/U 75.5 | 9% |
| O/U 73.5 | 8% |
| Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 4% |
Market context
LSU vs. Auburn — current market-implied probability: 82%. In the upcoming college football game between LSU and Auburn, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "LSU" if LSU win the game. This market will resolve to "Auburn" if Aub…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $99K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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