Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
84% | 16% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
84% | 16% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 39.5 | 84% |
| O/U 35.5 | 75% |
| O/U 37.5 | 74% |
| O/U 45.5 | 71% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 71% |
| O/U 41.5 | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 69% |
| O/U 49.5 | 68% |
| O/U 43.5 | 67% |
| O/U 47.5 | 63% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 61% |
| Spread -0.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 59% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| Spread -1.5 | 58% |
| O/U 51.5 | 58% |
| Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 11.5 | 54% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 11.5 | 54% |
| Ole Miss O/U 20.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| O/U 53.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Texas O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Texas O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Texas 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Texas 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Ole Miss vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss vs. Texas: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss vs. Texas: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Ole Miss O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 49% |
| Ole Miss vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Texas 1H O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 47% |
| Ole Miss vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Ole Miss O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Texas O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Texas 1H O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| O/U 55.5 | 45% |
| Texas O/U 32.5 | 44% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 44% |
| Ole Miss vs. Texas: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 44% |
| 1H Moneyline | 44% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 43% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| Ole Miss O/U 26.5 | 43% |
| Ole Miss O/U 29.5 | 43% |
| Ole Miss O/U 32.5 | 43% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| Spread -5.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| O/U 57.5 | 41% |
| Texas O/U 35.5 | 41% |
| Ole Miss vs. Texas | 40% |
| Spread -0.5 | 40% |
| Spread -6.5 | 40% |
| O/U 59.5 | 39% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| O/U 61.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 36% |
| Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 15.5 | 34% |
| Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -8.5 | 31% |
| O/U 65.5 | 31% |
| O/U 67.5 | 31% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 30% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 29% |
| Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| O/U 63.5 | 28% |
| Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| O/U 71.5 | 26% |
| O/U 73.5 | 26% |
| Spread -13.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| Spread -14.5 | 20% |
| Spread -16.5 | 18% |
| O/U 69.5 | 17% |
| Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| Spread -17.5 | 16% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
| O/U 75.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
Market context
Ole Miss vs. Texas — current market-implied probability: 84%. In the upcoming college football game between Ole Miss and Texas, scheduled for October 24 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ole Miss" if Ole Miss win the game. This market will resolve to "T…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $106K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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