Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
84% | 16% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
84% | 16% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 84% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 79% |
| O/U 37.5 | 77% |
| O/U 39.5 | 72% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 69% |
| Spread -0.5 | 66% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 66% |
| O/U 41.5 | 65% |
| O/U 43.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 60% |
| Kentucky O/U 20.5 | 58% |
| Oklahoma O/U 23.5 | 58% |
| Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| O/U 45.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 52% |
| Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 51% |
| Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 51% |
| Kentucky vs. Oklahoma: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Kentucky vs. Oklahoma: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky vs. Oklahoma: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky vs. Oklahoma: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky vs. Oklahoma: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| Kentucky vs. Oklahoma: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| O/U 47.5 | 44% |
| Kentucky O/U 23.5 | 44% |
| Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| Kentucky 1H O/U 15.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| Kentucky vs. Oklahoma | 40% |
| Spread -6.5 | 40% |
| O/U 49.5 | 40% |
| Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| O/U 53.5 | 37% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 16.5 | 37% |
| Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 36% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 36% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 35% |
| O/U 51.5 | 34% |
| Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| Spread -8.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 31% |
| Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| O/U 59.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| Spread -5.5 | 26% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| O/U 55.5 | 25% |
| O/U 69.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 25% |
| O/U 65.5 | 24% |
| O/U 71.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| O/U 67.5 | 23% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| O/U 57.5 | 21% |
| O/U 73.5 | 21% |
| O/U 63.5 | 19% |
| Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 17% |
| Spread -8.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 15% |
| O/U 61.5 | 15% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| Spread -14.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 8% |
Market context
Kentucky vs. Oklahoma — current market-implied probability: 84%. In the upcoming college football game between Kentucky and Oklahoma, scheduled for October 17 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kentucky" if Kentucky win the game. This market will resolve to…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $476K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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